top of page


Maybe the US Population Should Be Smaller
In 2020 I advanced the radical idea that the USA doesn't need a larger population. I riff on this idea as I add the piece to my website.
3 hours ago5 min read


China's Demographic Future--Updated
We have updated the story published by Scientific American in May 2024. Our short update has just been posted by a think tank in Hong Kong.
Sep 20, 20249 min read


My View of the Immigration Issue in 1986--and in 2024
I sent a letter to the Council of Economic Advisors in 1986 taking issue with the Council’s position on immigration. My view hasn’t changed.
Sep 3, 20243 min read


China's Demographic Future
This is my lifetime best publishing achievement. I don't expect to ever top it in terms of readership and policy significance.
May 6, 202410 min read

Japan’s Shrinking Population
Japan’s population is shrinking, but this is not a catastrophe as portrayed in many news reports and commentaries.
Nov 29, 20224 min read


GDP fixation on growth drives population increase
The Financial Times seems to like my letters. This is the third one they have published since the beginning of this year.
Jun 24, 20221 min read


Migration from Central America
I have tried to get the Biden Administration to include a “new city” project in their program to reduce migration from Central America.
Mar 13, 20226 min read


We Don’t Need More Babies (February 2022)
In my February 2022 Letter to the Editor of the Washington Post, I suggested that growing the US population to 800 million is a lousy idea.
Feb 1, 20221 min read


The USA Doesn't Need a Bigger Population
Before deciding on a migration policy, the USA should have a policy aimed at stabilizing our policy around the 330 million level.
May 5, 20211 min read


China's Falling Birth Rate
In my February 2021 Letter to the Editor of the Financial Times, I wrote that China’s falling birth rate is a positive, not negative, trend.
Feb 13, 20211 min read


The Global Compact on Migration: Dead on arrival?
In a December 2018 blog post for Brookings, I predicted that the UN’s new Global Compact on Migration will fail due to political resistance.
Dec 12, 20183 min read
bottom of page